The portfolio looked diversified until “claim-risk” became a line item

Ten years ago, most investors treated tax as a simple numbers problem. You picked the right fund structure, used a reliable bank or custodian, and trusted that tax treaties would take care of the rest. That approach worked often enough back then, which is why many people still assume it works today.

Then the frictions started stacking.

A bank suddenly asked for updated paperwork that used to be optional. A private credit deal in a Tier 2 market paid on time, but investors couldn’t move the money back when expected, so the final return didn’t match the model. A co-investment accidentally created the appearance of doing business in a country where there was no legal entity. And a fund manager’s structure became a red flag because no one could clearly explain who owned what.

a building with columns and a flag
Photo by Alicja Ziajowska / Unsplash

None of these failures were about headline tax rates. They were about tax rights.

“Tax rights” is the practical question: which jurisdiction has the right to claim the income or gains, and on what basis. It is shaped by residence claims, source rules, treaty entitlement, permanent establishment logic, controlled foreign company attribution, withholding, and reporting frameworks that connect banks to tax authorities.

Why this is happening now:

  • Information is more automatic and more expansive. The OECD’s consolidated CRS text (2025) reflects amendments that strengthened due diligence and reporting and expanded scope to include specific electronic money products and central bank digital currencies, and to capture indirect investments in crypto-assets via derivatives and investment vehicles.
  • Transparency expectations are tightening around ownership and control. FATF guidance emphasizes the need for adequate, accurate, and up-to-date beneficial ownership information and highlights mechanisms to identify and verify that information.

For allocators, that translates into a new constraint: investability is partly a documentation and governance outcome.

LP and IC behavior reflects this. The ILPA Due Diligence Questionnaire is designed to standardize key areas of inquiry during diligence and monitoring, signaling what sophisticated LPs treat as baseline process, not optional curiosity.

The result is a new operating reality: you do not just underwrite risk and return. You underwrite enforceability.

MARKET & CAPITAL REALITY CHECK

What “tax rights” means in the real world of claims, not rates

Think of claim-risk as a taxonomy allocators can actually use.

i-Invest DiagnosticOS

The Claim-Risk Taxonomy

  1. Residence claims: where a person or entity is treated as resident for tax purposes
  2. Source claims: where income is treated as arising, including withholding on cross-border flows
  3. PE claims: when activity in a country creates a taxable presence
  4. CFC attribution claims: when “offshore” income is pulled back to the home jurisdiction
  5. Treaty entitlement challenges: beneficial ownership, PPT/LOB style logic, and conduit indicators
  6. Reporting and disclosure exposure: CRS-driven information flows and bank file scrutiny
  7. Banking durability risk: account restrictions, de-risking, delays, and compliance costs that affect execution

Two concepts are especially important because they turn messy facts into enforceable outcomes:

  • Tie-breaker logic for dual residence. The OECD Model Tax Convention’s individual tie-breaker sequence runs through permanent home, centre of vital interests, habitual abode, nationality, then competent authority mutual agreement. This is not theoretical. It is how disputes get resolved when two jurisdictions can credibly claim a person.
  • Dependent agent PE logic post-BEPS Action 7. The Action 7 final report explains the “principal role leading to the conclusion of contracts” concept, capturing scenarios where a person convinces the counterparty even if they do not formally sign.

Now translate that into portfolio behavior.

Three allocator archetypes under the new reality

Archetype 1: Liquid markets plus offshore custody

  • Main risks: reporting exposure, documentation mismatch, withholding leakage, beneficial ownership clarity in custody chains
  • Failure mode: the position is good, but onboarding and re-documentation cycles create delays and forced simplification at the wrong time

Archetype 2: Private credit into Tier 2/3

  • Main risks: source taxation, withholding, FX convertibility and repatriation restrictions, enforcement and documentation burden
  • Anchor source: the IMF’s AREAER describes restrictions on international payments, capital controls, and exchange arrangements, which directly affects the difference between modeled and realized cash flow.

Archetype 3: Operating exposure plus co-invests

  • Main risks: PE creation, management and control questions, substance and governance evidence, local payroll and contracting realities
  • Action 7 relevance: you can create PE exposure through people and contracting patterns, without meaning to.
10 pounds on gray textile

Cross-region angle: high-income jurisdictions often have deep enforcement capacity, while Tier 2/3 markets may have uneven capacity but higher friction in FX, repatriation, and administrative processes. Both can damage realized returns, just through different pathways.

THE PLAYBOOK

How an allocator rebuilds the Wealth Stack for claim-risk

Who this playbook is for: Allocators and founder-investors running cross-border portfolios across public markets, private deals, and co-invests.

Conditions that need to be true:

  • You are willing to treat documentation and governance as risk controls.
  • You can model gross-to-net, not just headline yield.
  • You will align residency posture, entity chain, custody, and asset situs into one coherent story.

Steps (action-oriented):

  1. Map your Wealth Stack as an operating system. Residency posture → entity chain → custody and banking → asset situs → documentation pack.
  2. Create a claim-risk heatmap for the portfolio. For each position: residence claim risk, source claim risk, PE risk, CFC risk, withholding risk, BO challenge risk, reporting exposure.
  3. Pressure-test “tax rights” before you pressure-test price. Use OECD tie-breaker logic to identify where dual-claim disputes can arise, especially for principals and key decision-makers.
  4. Treat PE risk as an operating KPI for any co-invest or operating exposure. If local people are playing the principal role in closing contracts, treat that as a red flag requiring structuring and controls.
  5. Upgrade beneficial ownership evidence to institutional quality. FATF’s emphasis on accurate, up-to-date BO information and verification mechanisms is not abstract, it is what banks and counterparties will increasingly expect to see in the file.
  6. Build a single “investability pack” per manager and per structure. Use the ILPA DDQ mentality: standardized inquiry and monitoring is now table stakes in private markets diligence.

Risks & frictions (do not skip):

  • Dual residence disputes that change filing and reporting obligations
  • Withholding leakage that persists due to documentation failures
  • PE disputes that create unexpected corporate tax and compliance costs
  • Banking friction that delays execution or forces exits in bad windows
  • Headline risk when structures are not explainable

DEAL & PRODUCT LENS

Where the allocator edge lives now

The edge is moving into three product and service zones:

  • Governance and documentation infrastructure: beneficial ownership packs, standardized diligence workflows, audit-ready file systems
  • Cross-border operating controls: PE risk protocols for teams, contracting and authority frameworks aligned to Action 7 logic
  • Custody and reporting resilience: CRS-era documentation discipline and consistent self-certification posture, especially as CRS scope and due diligence requirements have tightened

This is not about evasion. It is about making positions durable under scrutiny.

coffee mug near open folder with tax withholding paper

How to plug into this responsibly

Types of actors to speak to first:

  • International tax controversy lawyer (disputes and audits)
  • Private bank or custodian compliance lead (what breaks onboarding)
  • Fund counsel or CIO-level diligence lead (what ICs and LPs now underwrite)

Recommended sequence:

  1. Build the claim-risk heatmap for your existing portfolio.
  2. Identify the top 10 percent of positions by claim-risk and fix documentation gaps first.
  3. Embed the investability pack into IC memo templates.
  4. Set an annual refresh cadence.
“Rates are a number. Tax rights are a claim, and claims are what break portfolios.”

Key datapoints box:

  • OECD CRS consolidated text (2025) reflects strengthened due diligence and expanded scope, including indirect crypto-asset investments through derivatives and investment vehicles.
  • FATF guidance underscores adequate, accurate, up-to-date beneficial ownership information and verification mechanisms.
  • OECD tie-breaker sequence for individuals provides a structured pathway for dual residence disputes (permanent home, centre of vital interests, habitual abode, nationality, mutual agreement).
  • BEPS Action 7 clarifies dependent agent PE risk where a person plays the principal role leading to contract conclusion.

SOURCES & DISCLOSURE

Key sources used: OECD CRS consolidated text (2025) and CRS FAQs (31 Dec 2025), FATF beneficial ownership guidance (R24/R25), OECD Model Tax Convention (2017) and update notes, OECD BEPS Action 7 final report, ILPA DDQ 2.0, IMF AREAER framework pages.

Standard I-Invest disclosure: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, legal, tax, or migration advice. Readers should seek independent professional advice before making decisions.

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